For medium to large ecommerce brands and wholesalers, inventory planning comes with additional complexity. You may be operating across multiple online sales channels as well as physical stores in various locations. You may have a large database of customers or be looking to scale up operations in the near future. Plus, sudden market shifts can add an extra layer of complexity to your inventory planning.
Whatever your growing business looks like right now, pinning down a successful inventory plan and management strategy is essential for your future security and success.
Efficient inventory planning offers a fast route to reduced costs tied up in dead inventory, optimized product mix, happier customers, and increased revenue and profit.
But despite the business-critical importance of proper inventory planning, all too many businesses today are not doing everything in their power to plan appropriately.
We want that to stop.
This article will cover everything a fast growing ecommerce retailer needs to know about inventory planning. From what it actually is, to the best technology for the job. What questions should you be asking yourself? What planning method is right for your business?
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By the end of this article you’ll be able to answer all of these questions and then some.
It’s time to end shoddy inventory planning and ensure that our businesses are streamlined for the future.
So, let’s get started.
What is Inventory Planning?
Inventory represents often the biggest part of a retail business’s assets – up to 80% of cash is usually tied up in inventory. Holding inventory is unavoidable as it allows organizations to operate continuously. However, having too much inventory is damaging to a healthy cash flow and holds business growth as the money tied up in excessive inventory can’t be invested in other areas of the business.
Inventory planning is an integral part of a company’s supply chain management strategy, alongside order management, accounting, warehouse operations, and customer management.
Inventory planning involves forecasting demand and deciding exactly how much inventory and when to order. When done successfully, this helps companies meet demand whilst reducing expenditure.
In other words, by having just the right amount of inventory at the right time, in the right location, businesses reduce the overall cost of storing merchandise, optimize inventory allocation routes, and ensures that there is always the right amount of stock to meet customer demand (whilst avoiding surplus stock in obsolescence or overstocking).
As a result inventory planning improves customer satisfaction rates by preventing overselling. Consistent service levels also breed loyal customers.
In order to establish a reliable inventory planning, businesses and organizations must do three things. These are:
- Demand forecast: using historical sales data, KPIs and variables like seasonality, promotions and market predicts to make data-driven forecasts.
- Control costs: considering things like choosing the right suppliers, automating purchase order process, reducing cash tied up in slow-moving products etc. –
- Store efficiently: storing the right amount of products in the right place to optimize your order fulfillment routes if you have multiple inventory locations
When these three workflows exist in tandem, inventory flows continuously, seamlessly, and efficiently. But, of course, maintaining such a complex operation comes with some challenges.
4 Challenges of Inventory Planning
Inventory planning involves bringing together lots of different factors and variables. Planning inventory accurately can be challenging even for businesses operating on one sales channel.
When a business or organization relies on multiple channels, with multiple warehouses, and possibly even multiple 3PL providers, things get even more complex. Especially when demand fluctuation and seasonality are also added into the mix.
Dealing with so many separate operations and variables at once poses some unique challenges. Even small hiccups can spell disaster. Typical challenges include:
- Disparate data
Effective inventory planning requires a lot of data from a lot of places. And bringing all this data together is a complex task. Inventory planners will need to collate historical data and retail reports that may be dispersed across many different legacy systems.
Planners will need to collate sales orders, accounting, fulfillment, suppliers and point-of-sale (POS) data.
This is not only time consuming but, if done poorly, may result in biased demand forecasting leading to over-stocking, under-stocking, or missed opportunities.
Making predictions is never easy. If you don’t have the right KPIs in place to guide your inventory planning, guesswork will always be there, even if you have analytics tools. Plus, unpredictable market variations can make the forecasting even more complex.
2020 was a testament to that very fact.
- Multiple locations
Allocating inventory that is stored across multiple locations is challenging. Without a suitable inventory tracking system, it’s difficult to know exactly where to allocate your merchandise all the time.
Plus, storing merchandise in the wrong place could result in added shipping costs and longer wait times for customer order fulfillment. A poor picking process will not only reduce productivity, but increase travel times across the whole supply chain.
- The human component
Technology is not the whole solution. Inventory planning is ultimately controlled by an inventory planner. When the role is taken over by somebody else, there is a lot of historical knowledge that needs to be transmitted to the new person in charge.
The new planner will initially lack the brand awareness of the outgoing planner and may struggle to understand the historical reasoning behind the current inventory management system.
And the human component doesn’t just apply to senior staff. Even with the best inventory software in tow, if staff aren’t sufficiently trained to use it, your business won’t see the best results possible.
Poor training impacts management and breeds miscalculation. Likewise, poor communication between procurement, production, and quality control departments will ultimately impede efficiency.
Why Inventory Planning is Essential for Ecommerce
Inventory planning is the pillar of successful ecommerce. That’s because a business without a solid inventory plan is significantly more vulnerable to overselling, understocking, and delayed order fulfillment. At the end of the day, this all comes crashing down on customer experience.
1. Avoid overselling
Overselling is harmful to customer experience and is often a cause of bad reviews. Customers are less likely to return for repeat purchases and will take their custom to your competitors.
2. Release cash
When too many slow-moving products accumulate in the warehouse, ecommerce retailers are often forced to discount or liquidate in order to release this excess of cash held in stagnating merchandise, in order to invest in more profitable products
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3. Ecommerce is booming
78% of people are set to increase their online purchases over the next year. To meet this increased demand, ecommerce retailers will need to scale their inventories with effective and flexible planning.
4. Meet customer expectations
Customers’ expectations are always high on ecommerce brands, even during the pandemic. Since the COVID-19 crisis, up to 36% of customers have reported being let down by online orders. More and more customers are turning to online reviews before buying, and more than three-quarters admit to leaving negative reviews following a bad shopping experience.
Dealing with negative reviews costs serious money. Money that could be easily saved by avoiding these problems in the first place with robust inventory planning.
Effective inventory planning can meet customer expectations by offering the right products, speeding up the order processing time, eliminating avoidable mistakes that cost a business time, money, and brand reputation.
By investing in appropriate software and experienced planners, retailers can avoid these money-draining situations and boost their customers’ experiences. Effective, data-oriented, planning helps retailers reduce time, scale, and optimize product allocations and pricing.
Considering the unexpected nature of the Pandemic, it is possible to understand why retailers were taken by surprise. But the crisis has taught us all some valuable lessons as well.
Retailers with flexible, scalable, inventory management plans already in place were able to meet accelerating customer demand head-on. Now there’s no longer any excuse.
Ask yourself, is my business post-pandemic proof?
The Pandemic has shown us, first-hand, the importance of maintaining an inventory plan that is robust enough to succeed through unforeseen events.
In fact, according to a 2020 survey by Statista, roughly one-fifth of businesses plan to have more inventory in the aftermath of the pandemic, whilst 27% state that they will be making adjustments to their supply chain networks.
To sum up, inventory planning will help you:
- Reduce stockouts
- Reduce overstocks
- Optimize inventory locations
- Rotate stock faster
- Increase cash flow
- Increase profitability
- Easily retrieve items
- Reduce guesswork
- Prevent order processing delays
- Anticipate lead times
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Key Considerations When it Comes to Inventory Planning
Given that proper inventory planning is so business-critical – now more than ever- what can we actually do to ensure that our inventory plans are robust and ready to go?
To actualize and carry out a successful inventory plan, you’ll want to follow some best practices and procedures. In order to do this it’s imperative that ecommerce businesses familiarize themselves with the important steps involved when it comes to planning inventory.
The important steps involved
There are many important steps involved in planning and executing a successful inventory plan. In general, these roles can be thought of in three parts: context; analytics; the planning.
Context refers to your business’ data history. From micro details to macro level planning. Everything from sales orders, customer knowledge to the competitor landscape and current socio political events should go into informing your inventory planning process.
Analytics refers to inferring information from the data itself. Ensuring that the inventory plan is based on the correct data, sufficient data, and (extremely important) complete data. What does this data mean, and how will it inform a flexible, scalable inventory plan?
Finally, the planning stage is absolutely critical in and of itself.
The planning stage involves:
- Gathering a comprehensive database of historical sales data
- Understanding how stock keeping units (SKUs) have performed
- Using SKU performance to set expectations for upcoming seasons
- Analyzing the competition’s data (pricing, promotions, & trends)
- Setting tentative or strict receipt budgets by product category
- Weekly performance recaps to assess product and category performance
- Setting markdowns and promotions based on weekly performance recaps
- Reforecasting periodically based on weekly updates, trends, and current events
- Managing evergreen inventory with monthly sales forecasts and receipt projections
- Post-season hindsighting of financial and product performance to determine if targets were met and make necessary changes to next season’s strategy
Setting up best practices and procedures
Another key consideration when it comes to inventory planning is maintaining best practices and procedures at all times. Getting inventory planning right is a balance between human expertise (people), intelligent strategizing (process) and the right tools for the job (technology).
When starting to develop an inventory plan, it’s a good idea to ask yourself some rudimentary questions that will inform your strategy going forward.
1. What is your product volume likely to be?
To answer this, dedicate some time to look into your historical data to understand the seasonality, coupling with trends data from tools like your own inventory planning software or Google Trends. Do this before scheduling any orders.
You’ll be able to calculate your regular off-peak sales stock requirements as well as factoring in any anticipated demand spikes. By determining your economic order quantity you’ll identify the optimum quantity of stock to hold at one time and minimize total ordering and holding costs accordingly.
2. What might impact my inventory?
It’s important to anticipate any internal or external factors that might impact consumer demand in the future. Consider variables such as upcoming advertising campaigns, sales promotions, target market, seasonal demand spikes, and current consumer trends.
3. Am I prioritizing efficiency?
Efficiency is the lifeblood of inventory planning. Ask yourself if your warehouse and order process is streamlined for optimal performance. If not, what can you do to make sure that it is?
Think well-organized storage spaces for easy picking and retrieval, sufficient space for extra stock (but not so much that you’re hemorrhaging money), optimal warehouse locations for faster delivery fulfillment, and streamlined communications between inventory and order management teams.
4. Am I using the right KPIs?
Consider whether you’ve been using metrics and key performance indicators (KPIs) to your full advantage. These critical datasets help organizations gauge the success of their inventory planning to date. Make sure that your inventory plan takes the following factors and variables into account – and use KPIs to inform your future strategy.
- Orders delayed by stockouts
- Storage capacity usage
- Forecast accuracy
- System accuracy
- Daily sales
- Movement of inventory
- Customer satisfaction
- Inventory turnover
- Carrying cost of sales
Inventory Planning Models
Inventory planning systems won’t look the same for every business. As such, there are various different inventory planning models. In fact, there are three main examples.
The models meet the needs of different types of companies. Primarily those dealing in:
- Raw materials
- Partially completed goods
- Finished goods
The deterministic inventory model
The deterministic inventory model is most typically used by merchants dealing in raw materials. The deterministic model uses a precautionary method to avoid stockouts. One example is the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model.
The EOQ model can be used to calculate an optimal order quantity to reduce inventory costs and maximize value. This is an effective model as long as demand stays relatively steady. But it does not account for seasonal change or external fluctuations. The deterministic model, therefore, requires constant monitoring to be successful.
The work in progress model (WIP)
This model is best suited to merchants dealing in partially completed goods, finished goods, or goods-in-transit (GIT). This inventory model focuses on the holding of inventory and there are three motives for doing so.
The transaction motive posits that buying raw materials in bulk is cheaper and brings down the per unit cost. The precautionary motive uses inventory as a protection against demand uncertainties to prevent stockouts. The speculative model promotes holding inventory to mitigate increases in the price of materials and/or labor.
The perpetual inventory model
The perpetual (or continuous) inventory model is also often used by companies dealing with partial or finished goods. Continuous systems constantly track quantities, and replenishment orders are made as soon as stock reaches below a set cutoff point (the reorder point).
This is the only system that cannot be maintained manually. The perpetual model relies on specialized technology. But this model allows merchants to keep track of current stock levels and avoid stockouts.
The just in time (JIT) inventory model
The just in time (or JIT) inventory model works by aligning orders of raw materials or items from suppliers with production schedules directly. In other words, the company will hold sufficient inventory to cover maximum market demand.
The idea is to increase efficiency and decrease waste by ordering and receiving goods as and when needed, and never in surplus. To achieve success with this model, therefore, retailers must make sure to forecast demand as accurately as possible.
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Improving Inventory Planning With Technology
Inventory planning can be improved, aided, and enhanced with the right technology. ERP inventory control systems offer users versatile control over various parts of the product lifecycle. From production in the factory, to storage in the warehouse and transit. However, implementing an ERP system is often a complex project that can take up years, and usually requires customized ecommerce integrations at extra cost. So it may not be the ideal option for ecommerce businesses that look to expand quickly.
Though small businesses might be perfectly fine using Excel to manage their inventory, but can easily get overwhelmed by increasing order volumes and product SKUs when their businesses start to grow.
Luckily, there are many inventory planning software options on the market today that can be scaled for different business needs. In fact, many of these software companies offer fully customizable enterprise-level software solutions, things like:
- Location management
- Sales tracking
- Barcode & POS capability
- Barriers to oversell
- Multi-channel management
- Data-driven demand forecasting
- Fulfillment planning
- Inventory, sales channel, supplier and customer reporting
- Retail business intelligence
Mobilizing technology and real-time data insights will remain key to managing customer expectations in the years to come, coping with demand fluctuations and surviving through any future supply-chain disruptions.
Digitizing our supply chains will help us future-proof our ecommerce platforms by speeding up business-critical processes and eliminating time-consuming manual tasks and decision making.
Brightpearl offers a retail-tailored Digital Operations Platform that is specifically built for omnichannel merchants.
In other words, for medium to large retailers managing multiple online sales channels, Brightpearl’s inventory management software is designed to enhance operational agility, boost sales, and meet (or rather, exceed) customer expectations with data-driven inventory planning and workflow automation.
You’ll be able to manage your inventory across marketplaces like Amazon, your web stores like Shopify, BigCommerce, Magento , your physical stores and other major ecommerce platforms – all from one place.
In our fast-changing ecommerce ecosystem, you need to be armed with a system that can boost your operational agility to adjust quickly to any sudden market shifts, remain competitive and hold on to our customers throughout turbulent, fast-changing markets.